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Your reminder concerning death from above

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the conference on epidemic catastrophic risks is get-together in the u.k. this week, and use one’s judgement magazine provides a rundown of the major threats we face from outisde the planet, and more to the point, what industrialized nations match ours are doing about it.

In 1998, Congress charged NASA with surveying the skies to detect 90 percent of near earth asteroids (NEAs) greater than 1 kilometer in size in 10 years. An impact by a kilometer-sized asteroid could end civilization. Besides the blast, such an asteroid would inject so much dust into the atmosphere that it would cause global winter that would cause massive crop failure.

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Proposals to have the Spaceguard Survey expand to detect NEAs as small a 100-meters are now being considered. Morrison groused that NASA has spent only levitra kaufen $ 4 million on Spaceguard and argued that the magnitude of the risk merits a budget of half a billion dolars.

The study is dealing with three specific types of threats. The first is is the meteor problem. We haven’t found any dinosaur killers coming our way any time soon. Of course, while a one kilometer or greater diameter meteor strike would end civilization, if not drive us to extinction, considerably smaller objects could wreak major havoc. We’re still a long way from identifying all of the potentially dangerous objects down to the 100 meter range, which would impact with a force greater than the largest nuclear bomb in our posession.

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The second threat they study is that of a massive Gamma Ray Burst (GRB) which could be generated by a star in this part of the galaxy going supernova. It could effectively put the planet inside a microwave oven for a while and would be catastrophic. Sadly, there’s not much we can do about that if WR-104 decides to blow up on us.

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The last threat is from comets. We tend to have a pretty good grip on the icey comets from the Kuiper Belt (out near where Pluto orbits) such as Halleys. What this team is more worried about are rocky, “dark comets” in long period orbits coming from the Ort Cloud. They only show up rarely, but do so with little warning and they don’t have the flashy tails that their Kuiper cousins display. They remind us that the IRAS Araki-Alcock dark comet came zooming by in 1983, missing us by an astronomical hair’s breadth, and we didn’t even see it until it was two weeks out.

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Congress is once again talking about trimming NASA’s budget for next year as everyone rushes to “fix government spending” during and election year. If cut funding for near earth orbiter studies and protective programs like Spaceguard, the good news is that you may only have a month or so to regret the decision. Keep that in mind while voting.

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